[iopscience] Persistent fossil fuel growth threatens the Paris Agreement and planetary health

Persistent fossil fuel growth threatens the Paris Agreement and planetary health

Amidst declarations of planetary emergency and reports that the window for limiting climate change to 1.5 °C is rapidly closing, global average temperatures and fossil fuel emissions continue to rise. Global fossil CO2 emissions have grown three years consecutively: +1.5% in 2017, +2.1% in 2018, and our slower central projection of +0.6% in 2019 (range of –0.32% to 1.5%) to 37 ± 2 Gt CO2 (Friedlingstein et al 2019 Earth Syst. Sci. Data accepted), after a temporary growth hiatus from 2014 to 2016.

Fossil CO2 emissions in 2019 are set to grow +0.6% (range of −0.2% to +1.5%) to a record high of 37 billion tonnes CO2.